Best Time to Day Trade the EUR/USD Forex Pair

Dollar smiles again. Forecast as of 11.11.2020

Dollar smiles again. Forecast as of 11.11.2020
While the EURUSDbulls wonder why the price isn’t rising, the bears see the reasons for a deeper correction. What’s next? Let us discuss the Forex outlook and make up a EURUSD trading plan.

Monthly US dollar fundamental forecast

It is impossible to predict market trends. The market is unpredictable; it can always surprise us. The EURUSD bulls are surprised because the pair doesn’t grow. There should be several reasons for the euro growth. Joe Biden has won the US presidential election; there is positive news about the COVID-19 vaccines. Investors should have started selling the dollar. However, the greenback remains strong, encouraging traders to buy the USD.
Jefferies notes that the USD closed in the red zone six months out of the last seven, having been down by 11%. The dollar’s surge on November 9 proves that most of the negative had been priced in the quotes, and the greenback will hardly start falling now. The central bank in Europe and Asia, which compete with the Fed, are willing to provide an extra monetary stimulus, which is a bearish factor for their local currencies. Jefferies sees the EURUSD falling to 1.14 as the dollar smile theory is popular again. It suggests the USD should strengthen at the final, third stage of the economic cycle because the US GDP outperforms the global peers.
Even though the next two quarters, according to the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Robert Kaplan, will be tough for the US, it should demonstrate robust growth in 2021. Unlike Europe, the USA does not impose a lockdown, and the restrictions introduced in the euro-area countries are costly. For example, each month of helping businesses and workers in Italy affected by COVID-19 will cost Rome €10 billion. If the restrictions last through March, it will cost €40 billion - €50 billion, or 3% of GDP. Furthermore, the PMIs and other indicators are falling, which is confirmed by a decrease in the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany to the lowest level since April.

Dynamics of German economic sentiment index


Source: Bloomberg
The epidemiological situation in the euro area deteriorates. The ECB estimates that one in seven workers in Spain is associated with a business at risk of collapse, which compares with 8% of employees in Germany and France, and 10% - in Italy. The divergence in economic growth is in favor of the USA, which presses down the EURUSD.
And what about Biden’s victory and coronavirus vaccines? I believe the first driver has already worked out, which is evident from the euro drop on November 9. There is still much uncertainty around vaccines. Nobody can say how quickly they will be introduced and how long the immunity will last. The market needs time. The US stock indexes could be overvalued and will be unstable in the next few weeks. Besides, the positive news about COVID-19 vaccines will give Republicans a reason to delay or adopt a smaller fiscal stimulus than previously anticipated.

Monthly EURUSD trading plan

The euro should be strong in the long-term outlook, but it should weaken in the short term. Under such conditions, one could buy the EURUSD at the breakout of the resistance at 1.192. It will be relevant to sell the euro-dollar if the price breaks out the support at 1.179.
For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex
https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/dollar-smiles-again-forecast-as-of-11112020/?uid=285861726&cid=62423
submitted by Maxvelgus to Finance_analytics [link] [comments]

Dollar is following its heart. Forecast as of 06.11.2020

Dollar is following its heart. Forecast as of 06.11.2020

Weekly US dollar fundamental analysis

Markets are just like people. They follow their hearts from time to time and forget about common sense. Investors like the idea of the division in the Congress and the Democratic president. In this scenario, the risks of tax hikes and high tech companies' strict regulation are much lower. This fact supports the stock indexes. The S&P 500 has been up by 1% and more during four consecutive trading sessions, which has been for the first time since 1982. In percentage terms, those days have been the best since early April. Markets consider Joe Biden to be a better president than Donald Trump, which allowed the yuan to gain back more than 50% of the losses faced during trade wars. The EURUSD tested the resistance at 1.186-1.187.
The growing chance of Biden’s victory encourages investors to spend the cash, which they have been accumulating ahead of the US presidential election. They are buying stocks and bonds. However, traders forget about other factors, such as the pandemic, uncertainty around the new fiscal stimulus, and Donald Trump’s willingness to reject the voting results. It looks like an attempt to give out desirable for valid. According to TD securities, there should not be any concerns about challenging the voting results, which has pushed the risky assets up and weakened the US dollar. DZ Bank believes that the greenback is falling because the voting results were reported earlier than some had expected. I do not think the above arguments to be strong.
I suppose traders are following their hearts. They invest the capitals in the securities as they worry not to miss the uptrend, which sends the S&P 500 up, fuels global risk appetite, and weakens the US dollar against a basket of currencies.

Dynamics of world's currencies versus the US dollar


Source: Financial Times
How long can it be going on? It depends. People in love are passionate during different periods. However, common sense should win sooner or later. The USA performs better than the euro area at the current stage of the economic cycle. The Fed is not willing to boost the monetary stimulus while the ECB tends to increase the current QE pace. According to Bloomberg’s leading indicators, the largest euro-area economies face a deeper drawdown in the PMIs because of the new lockdowns. The euro-area bond yields fall, which signals that the markets expect the ECB to take active measures in December.

Recovery of the world’s economies


Source: Bloomberg

Yields on the euro-area bonds


Source: Wall Street Journal

Weekly EURUSD trading plan

Let us be sensible during times of euphoria. Although the EURUSD has rebounded from the resistance at 1.186, the shorts entered in the zone seem vulnerable. It will be relevant to hold down the shorts if the pair goes below the support at 1.179. The S&P 500 rally could push the euro up above $1.188. The EURUSD medium-term outlook depends on whether the bulls can hold the price above 1.188.
For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex
https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/dollar-is-following-its-heart-forecast-as-of-06112020/?uid=285861726&cid=62423
submitted by Maxvelgus to Finance_analytics [link] [comments]

PM Modi's 17 Achievements During Foreign Visits In Last Few Weeks

Disclaimer: Extracted from a Facebook post by a senior policy maker.. Pasting it as it is, without any modifications
"Since last few days, I have seen few jokes on Narendra Modi's foreign visits.... and all people are curious why Narendra Modi visits so many countries, What India achieving from it. Few hidden achievements are as given below.
  1. BJP Govt. convinced Saudi Arabia to not charge “On-Time Delivery” Premium charges on Crude Oil – Young Petrolium minister Dharmendra Pradhan & External affair minister Sushma Swaraj seal the deal.
  2. India will build 4 Hydropower station + Dams in Bhutan (India will get share in Green energy will be produce in future)
  3. India will build Biggest ever dam of Nepal (China was trying hard to get that) – India will get 83% Green energy produce from that hydropower station in free – in future.
  4. Increased relationship with Japan and they agree to invest $30 Billion in DMIC (Delhi – Mumbai Investment Corridor)
  5. Increase relationship with Vietnam and Vietnam now agree to give contract of Oil exploration to ONGC-Videsh (UPA was not ready to take because they are worried of china – major conflict on south-china sea)
  6. Increase Oil Import from Iran despite there is ban by USA. Iran agree to sell in Indian rupees and it save our Forex. India didn’t stop to build “Chabahar” port of Iran.
  7. India – Australia (NaMo is first PM to visit Australia after 28yrs) Despite Australia is major supplier of Coal & Uranium. NaMo able to convinced Tony Abbott and now Australia will supply Uranium for our energy production.
  8. China favoring President lost election in Sri Lanka – Remember UPA lost “Hambantota” port development – read latest report of CIA where they mention RAW has major role in power shift of Sri Lanka. Now Modi has confirmed he is visiting Sri Lanka in April.
  9. With China as Trade Deficit was increasing – NaMo force either Anti-Dumping will be come soon or China have invest into India. – China commit $20 billion Investment in India.
  10. On Security – I think adding “Ajit Doval” in his team is the best decision by NaMo. See the recent tie-up with Pantagon, Israel & Japan. Remember I.K.Gujaral as PM stop RAW’s offensive operations in foreign countries.. Now see how we stop ‪#‎TerrorBoat‬ and listen his word … “Any Mumbai like attack from Pakistan and Pakistan will lose balochistan”
  11. India approve the Road in North east and around India china border – Remember Just because China’s oppose ADB (Asian Development Bank) didn’t give us fund during UPA regime and UPA hold that file under “Environment Ministry” node – Remember “JAYANTHI TAX” ?
  12. India manage to bring back 4000+ Indians from War zone Yemen and also bring foreign nationals of 41 different countries which put India’s name globally in rescue mission – PM Narendra Modi specially talk to Saudi Arabian king and tell him to allow Indian Airforce planes to fly – as Saudi Arabia was attacking on Yemen and Yemen sky was declared NO-FLY Zone.
  13. India’s Air defense was getting weaker day by day, NaMo has renegotiated Rafale fighter Jets deal with France and bough 36 Jets on ASAP basis.
  14. First time after 42yrs Indian Prime Minister visits Canada, in Bilateral deal, Indian able convince to Canada to supply Uranium for India’s Nuclear reactors for next 5yrs. It will be great help to resolve India’s Power problems.
  15. Canada approve On-Arrival visa for Indian tourists. This is incorrect. Its the other way round which actually happened: Canadians can now have visa on arrival in India.
  16. Till yet we were buying the Nuclear Reactor from Russia or USA and it was much like bagger kind of situation because they were worried about usage of Nuclear reactor for some other use. Now Narendra Modi able to convince France and now France will make Nuclear reactor in India. On MAKE IN INDIA efforts.. with collaboration with Indian company.
  17. During 26th Jan Visit of Barak Obama, NaMo convince USA to drop rule of Nuclear fuel tracking rule and sort-out Liabilities rules which now open the gates for next 16 Nuclear power plant projects."
Edit 1: Corrected the Canadian Visa 'achievement'
submitted by wordswithmagic to india [link] [comments]

Daytraders discussion, ideas and strategy sharing (TA+FA)

TA that I use constantly and find working for a bit over a year:
FA principles that I constantly use and find immensely useful to always keep in mind:
Trading techniques and strategies:
I used to sell EURUSD at retracements due to high central bank policy divergence, good USA data and pretty bad Euro Zone data. Used a high SL because of high conviction and never actually had a losing day.
After the holiday I will be starting to trade once again. I was thinking about simply looking for decent conviction trades and just take em all with a 1:1 risk:reward ratio and see how it goes in a day trader's time frame (intra day).
Both FA and TA traders and mutts like myself and every type of trader are welcome to share and give constructive criticism to any idea or strategy or just share your strategy!
EDIT: Here are a few free websites that I use:
Calendars:
Pure data:
News stories and analysis:
Use these to gauge the general vibe and sentiment of what the markets are thinking! Big hedge funds and commercial banks occasionally get interviewed:
Forex live: best for last!
The news are released and updated fairly real time, during big releases they come out with the story+analyzed story within minutes. It's a realtime feed so you won't be refreshing the page to get updated.
submitted by anti_erection_man to Forex [link] [comments]

Achievements of NaMo in just few days after swearing! xpost /r/facebook. Whatsapp forward!

Disclaimer: Extracted from a Facebook post by a senior policy maker.. Pasting it as it is, without any modifications
"Since last few days, I have seen few jokes on Narendra Modi's foreign visits.... and all people are curious why Narendra Modi visits so many countries, What India achieving from it. Few hidden achievements are as given below.
  1. BJP Govt. convinced Saudi Arabia to not charge “On-Time Delivery” Premium charges on Crude Oil – Young Petrolium minister Dharmendra Pradhan & External affair minister Sushma Swaraj seal the deal.
  2. India will build 4 Hydropower station + Dams in Bhutan (India will get share in Green energy will be produce in future)
  3. India will build Biggest ever dam of Nepal (China was trying hard to get that) – India will get 83% Green energy produce from that hydropower station in free – in future.
  4. Increased relationship with Japan and they agree to invest $30 Billion in DMIC (Delhi – Mumbai Investment Corridor)
  5. Increase relationship with Vietnam and Vietnam now agree to give contract of Oil exploration to ONGC-Videsh (UPA was not ready to take because they are worried of china – major conflict on south-china sea)
  6. Increase Oil Import from Iran despite there is ban by USA. Iran agree to sell in Indian rupees and it save our Forex. India didn’t stop to build “Chabahar” port of Iran.
  7. India – Australia (NaMo is first PM to visit Australia after 28yrs) Despite Australia is major supplier of Coal & Uranium. NaMo able to convinced Tony Abbott and now Australia will supply Uranium for our energy production.
  8. China favoring President lost election in Sri Lanka – Remember UPA lost “Hambantota” port development – read latest report of CIA where they mention RAW has major role in power shift of Sri Lanka. Now Modi has confirmed he is visiting Sri Lanka in April.
  9. With China as Trade Deficit was increasing – NaMo force either Anti-Dumping will be come soon or China have invest into India. – China commit $20 billion Investment in India.
  10. On Security – I think adding “Ajit Doval” in his team is the best decision by NaMo. See the recent tie-up with Pantagon, Israel & Japan. Remember I.K.Gujaral as PM stop RAW’s offensive operations in foreign countries.. Now see how we stop ‪#‎TerrorBoat‬ and listen his word … “Any Mumbai like attack from Pakistan and Pakistan will lose balochistan”
  11. India approve the Road in North east and around India china border – Remember Just because China’s oppose ADB (Asian Development Bank) didn’t give us fund during UPA regime and UPA hold that file under “Environment Ministry” node – Remember “JAYANTHI TAX” ?
  12. India manage to bring back 4000+ Indians from War zone Yemen and also bring foreign nationals of 41 different countries which put India’s name globally in rescue mission – PM Narendra Modi specially talk to Saudi Arabian king and tell him to allow Indian Airforce planes to fly – as Saudi Arabia was attacking on Yemen and Yemen sky was declared NO-FLY Zone.
  13. India’s Air defense was getting weaker day by day, NaMo has renegotiated Rafale fighter Jets deal with France and bough 36 Jets on ASAP basis.
  14. First time after 42yrs Indian Prime Minister visits Canada, in Bilateral deal, Indian able convince to Canada to supply Uranium for India’s Nuclear reactors for next 5yrs. It will be great help to resolve India’s Power problems.
  15. Canada approve On-Arrival visa for Indian tourists.
  16. Till yet we were buying the Nuclear Reactor from Russia or USA and it was much like bagger kind of situation because they were worried about usage of Nuclear reactor for some other use. Now Narendra Modi able to convince France and now France will make Nuclear reactor in India. On MAKE IN INDIA efforts.. with collaboration with Indian company.
  17. During 26th Jan Visit of Barak Obama, NaMo convince USA to drop rule of Nuclear fuel tracking rule and sort-out Liabilities rules which now open the gates for next 16 Nuclear power plant projects."
submitted by InternetOfficer to bakchodi [link] [comments]

Why did Modi go to so many places? (FB)

You will not be disappointed after reading this.
  1. Jawahar Lal Nehru – 16 years 286 days
  2. Indira Gandhi – 15 years 91 days
  3. Rajiv Gandhi – 5 years 32 days
  4. Narasimha Rao – 4 years 11 months
  5. Manmohan Singh – 10 years 4 days….. In these total 57 years, these people could not get Achche din”
Pappu wants achche din in just 12 months. Such a Shame Double Standard thinking……
We have elected a prime minister not a magician. (Must Read)…..
Why is Narendra Modi making more foreign visits ???
  1. For the first time after 42 yrs Indian Prime Minister visited Canada not to attend some meeting but as a specific state visit, in a Bilateral deal, India was able convince to Canada to supply Uranium for India’s Nuclear reactors for next 5 years. It will be of great help to Resolve India’s Power problems. . . .
  2. Canada approves visa on arrival for all Indian tourists. . . .
  3. Australia is set to sign a Nuclear Power deal with India to supply around 500 tonnes of Uranium to India……
  4. Satya Nadella (Microsoft), Indra Nooyi (Pepsico), Sheryl Sandberg (Facebook), Jeff Bezos (Amazon), Mark Zuckerberg (Facebook) discusses possible investments……
  5. Israel inks $5 million deal for Joint Educational Research programme……
  6. $20 billion investment from Xi and his Chinese counterparts……
  7. 2 Billion Euros support from France for sustainable development in India……
  8. Airbus to increase outsourcing in India from 400 million euros to 2 billion euros over the next five years……
  9. French National Railways has agreed to co-finance an execution study for a semi- high speed project on upgradation of the Delhi-Chandigarh line to 200 kmph…….
  10. Canada agrees to supply 3,000 metric tonnes of uranium to India from this year to power Indian atomic reactors…….
  11. Japan and India agree to jointly produce mixed rare earth.
And While we are all yearning for a transformation, development, etc. There is someone who is actually setting up the infrastructure for it……
Marketing of ‘Brand India’ has never been so important……
Number of days Modi stayed abroad touring 15 countries as a PM on official trips = 45……
Number of days Rahul stayed abroad (Bangkok) without informing his voters = 57…….
Now read the description below: 1. BJP Govt. convinced Saudi Arabia not to charge “On-Time Delivery 1 Premium charges” on Crude Oil – Young Petroleum Minister Dharmendra Pradhan & External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj sealed the deal. Saved the country thousands of crores… . .
  1. India will build 4 Hydroelectric power stations + Dams in Bhutan (India will get lion’s share in Green energy that will be produced in future from these projects) . .
  2. India will build Biggest ever dam of Nepal (China was trying hard to get that) – India will get 83% Green energy produce from that hydro power station for free – in future. . . . .
  3. Increased relationship with Japan and they agreed to invest $ 30 Billion in DMIC (Delhi – Mumbai Investment Corridor)..
  4. Increased strategic relationship with Vietnam and Vietnam has now agreed to give contract of Oil exploration to ONGC-Videsh (UPA was not ready to take this at all because they were worried about China – and getting into a conflict of interests on south China sea)
  5. Increase Oil Imports from Iran, despite the ban by USA. . Iran agreed to sell in Indian Rupees and it saved our Forex, not just for now, but protected India from future currency fluctuations. India also gets to build “Chabahar” port of Iran, encircling Pakistan. Because we well have exclusive access for our Naval ships in this port.
  6. Australia- despite Australia being a major supplier of Coal & Uranium. . . NaMo was able to convince Tony Abbott and now Australia will supply Uranium for our energy production. . .
  7. China leaning President Rajapakse lost elections in Sri Lanka – Remember UPA lost “Hambantota” port development – read latest report of CIA, where they mention RAW has played a major role in power shift of Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka has backed out of Chinese contract and shifted to Indian project managers.
  8. With China, as Trade Deficit was increasing, NaMo forced their hand. Anti-Dumping will come soon so China will invest heavily into India. – China has already committed $ 20 billion Investment in India. That’s nearly ₹140,000 crores.
  9. On Security – I think adding Ajit Doval to his team is the best decision by NaMo. See the recent tie-up with Pentagon, Israel & Japan. . Now see how we stopped the Terror Boat and listen to his words … “Any Mumbai like attack from Pakistan and Pakistan will lose Baluchistan!” That’s the language of deterrence that I want to hear as an Indian. We won’t hit first, but if you do, we surely won’t turn the other cheek…. . . .
  10. India approved the border road in the NorthEast and around India- China border – Remember just because of China’s opposition, the ADB (Asian Development Bank) didn’t give us funds during UPA regime and UPA held that file under “Environment Ministry control – Remember the infamous “JAYANTHI TAX “? No one bothered about the disastrous effect on our armed forces.
  11. India managed to bring back 4,500+ Indians from War zone in Yemen and also brought foreign nationals of 41 different countries, which put India’s name onto the highest platform globally in conducting that rescue mission – PM Narendra Modi specially talked to the new Saudi Arabian king Salman and told him to allow Indian Airforce planes to fly – as Saudi Arabia was attacking on Yemen and Yemen skies was declared NO-FLY Zone: thanks to this we got an assured clear window of a few hours and guys guess who coordinated this? Ajit Doval, Sushama Swaraj and Gen V K Singh. All in person…. When was the last time you ever heard of ministers involved personally in such efforts that didn’t fetch thousands of crores?? Guess the religion of those rescued?? But it isn’t secular.
  12. India’s Air defense was getting weaker by the day, UPA was very happy to let it happen despite repeated specific inputs from the armed forces, NaMo renegotiated Rafale fighter Jets deal with France personally and bought 36 Jets on ASAP basis. At better than rack rates. No middlemen, no commissions…
  13. $35 billion investment by Japan over a period of 5 years and along with it their expertise in making bullet trains……
  14. Till recently we were exclusively buying Nuclear Reactors from Russia or USA and it was much like beggar kind of situation because they were worried about usage of Nuclear reactor for some other use. So only what they opted to give us, we could get. . Now Narendra Modi was able to convince France and now France will make Nuclear reactors with the latest technology in India. On MAKE IN INDIA efforts.. with collaboration with an Indian company as a partner. . .
  15. During 26th Jan. visit of Barack Obama , NaMo convinced USA to drop rule of Nuclear fuel tracking and sorted out Liabilities rules which now open the gates for next
  16. Nuclear power plant projects. . . . Isn’t this good enough to improve the lot of India?
Let’s be sensible to analysis & make a judgment. Specially, for those who questioned about Modi’s foreign trip..
submitted by -------_------- to india [link] [comments]

What Are The BEST TRADING Zones In Forex??... - YouTube How To Draw Zones-A Teen Trader - YouTube The Best Forex Trading Zones with Jose Tormos Tips & Tricks for Trading US30 - Forex 101 - YouTube Forex Market Hours : Best Time To Trade In Forex Forex Market Hours - YouTube Trading The Time Zones: Forex Market Hours The Best Times to Trade the Forex Markets - YouTube Best Forex Trading Times (EU, UK, USA & AU) - Tutorial #5 What's the best time to trade Forex

Forex trading time zones explained by currency trading experts, Read this article to the end to finding out what is Forex time zones.. Forex trading time zones. Forex market is a 24 hours trading market. This market opens on Sunday 7 PM EST and remains open till 5 PM EST and in this time the market does not close for a second. Forex Trading centres in the world: Trading hours in local time: Forex Oceania-Asia session: Wellington, New Zealand : 08:00-17:00: Sydney, Australia: 08:00-17:00 Forex trading hours, Forex trading time: New York opens at 8:00 am to 5:00 pm EST (EDT) Tokyo opens at 7:00 pm to 4:00 am EST (EDT) Sydney opens at 5:00 pm to 2:00 am EST (EDT) London opens at 3:00 am to 12:00 noon EST (EDT) And so, there are hours when two sessions overlap: New York and London: between 8:00 am — 12:00 noon EST (EDT) Sydney and Tokyo: between 7:00 pm — 2:00 am EST (EDT ... The forex market runs on the normal business hours of four different parts of the world and their respective time zones. The U.S./London markets overlap (8 a.m. to noon EST) has the heaviest ... The forex market is available for trading 24 hours a day, five and one-half days per week. The Forex Market Time Converter displays "Open" or "Closed" in the Status column to indicate the current state of each global Market Center. However, just because you can trade the market any time of the day or night doesn't necessarily mean that you should. Most successful day traders understand that ... A Forex Market Hours Clock, showing live opening and closing times for the major forex trading sessions. Also see Trading Strategies based on Forex Trading Hours. The allure of forex day trading is that you can trade 24-hours a day. Unfortunately, that doesn't mean you should. Day traders should only trade a forex pair when it's active and there's lots of volume and transactions occurring. The EUR/USD has certain hours which are acceptable for day trading because there is enough volatility to generate profits, which are likely higher than the cost of ...

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What Are The BEST TRADING Zones In Forex??... - YouTube

European Market - Forex Trading Hours The time of trading sessions in Europe is very different from that of Asia due to the difference in time zones. Frankfurt opens at 7:00 AM Central European ... The Best Times to Trade the Forex Markets. Subscribe if you want to learn while being entertained. Please like the video and comment if you enjoyed - it ... Forex Market Hours - Forex For Beginners Tutorial on when to trade the Forex Market and the various trading sessions. Find more at: Forexcapitalmanagement.weebly.com or email [email protected] A Teen Trader shows how to properly draw Support and Resistance zones for trading and instrument. This allows for the most optimal entries and exits while tr... Understanding forex time zones in your local country is important to help watch out for the busiest sessions. Different sessions and the most important ones are discussed in this video. How I trade US30! check out my FREE course here :) http://www.forextipsclass.com/freecourse Jose Tormos breaks down the best forex trading zones traders could use to optimize their trading. Learn more trading strategies by joining us for a free Forex workshop: https://goo.gl/UJnGZV Be ... FREE: EMACP Strategy Tutorial-My Breakout Strategy -https://thetradingchannel.org/optin25151260 CHECK OUT: EAP Training Program - https://goo.gl/7RrMM5 JOIN:... In this video I will explain what the best trading times are for binary options in the three main time zones being Europe (including the UK), America & Austr...

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